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The 54% number is correlation dressed as causation.

Brands that redesign almost always raise trade spend, expand distribution, or reformulate at the same time. The data can't isolate the package as the cause. It just shows redesigned brands grew.

The brands I autopsy didn't die from bad packaging. They died from gross margin that couldn't absorb the trade spend the new package needed to move off shelf.

Before redesigning, run the math: how many incremental units does the new package need to move to pay for itself, and has any brand in the category ever hit that lift from package alone?

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